The end of coding? Microsoft publishes a framework making developers merely supervise AI
(vulcanpost.com)
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NecroSocial
7 months ago
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I wish that AI has reached a point where it's so good. (It didn't)
Devin AI, though probably vaporware, is still a good proof of concept for these kinds of dev systems and Devin is only running 4 sub-agents. Imagine an AI running hundreds or thousands of sub-agents each handling different aspects of the development pipeline from setting up environments to QA to final commits and go-live and keeping a master list of where in the process the whole thing is. A single human coder could be overseeing the master list to step in and resolve any bottlenecks. After enough learning the human coder could be cut out of the process entirely and only step in at the end to ensure the software is working to spec before launch. It's prolly not completely there yet but it's definitely coming and likely sooner than one would expect.
have they fixed the hallucinations yet?
We'll keep have to deal with hallucinations until/unless they give AI the ability to say "I don't know." Right now models are basically required to give an answer to a prompt and if no true answer exists in their approximation then they just lie/hallucinate the most convincing thing they can calculate because answering, "How should I know?" isn't an option. There's something about the black box nature of how current LLMs formulate replies that makes recognizing when to admit defeat in answering a query a non starter at the moment. It's why a image generator will always return an image no matter how obscure or misunderstood the prompt was. For example I just asked Leonardo.ai for an image of "mipsydoople canarling a jibbymank" and got the attached image which I guess is it taking "canarling" to mean "canary" because failure isn't an option.
I dropped out of college where I studies CS a couple of years ago and I regretted doing that at the beginning. But now I'm starting to think that even if I had a CS degree it wouldn't offer me any real advantage anyway.
Soon enough most knowledge work degrees will be worthless. Personally I'm hoping we can get to this "job-free, UBI for all" future already. Living through the transition is gonna suuuuuck for a lot of people if the usual suspects fight giving people universal basic income while the short-sighted anti-AI luddites keep up with the "AI ain't taking mah jerb!" bullshit at the same time.
How is UBI even going to be funded though? Since vast majority of people will be out of jobs there will be way less tax money coming in. I just don't see how that will be feasible. I'm afraid we are going to end up with a system like the wireheading city (1, 2).
Another really big problem in a job-free world will be that people's lives will be completely devoid of meaning (even more so than now). Perhaps some sort of a new age religion could be established to counter this?
Nationwide UBI will likely require a tax on all companies creating or employing AI. Also keep in mind UBI would be replacing welfare and possibly foods stamps creating a massive pool of cash to begin with. A dream scenario would see those funds supplemented even further by a tax on cannabis in conjunction with recreational use being legalized at the federal level.
As for the "life has no meaning without work" argument I just disagree with that completely. First there's the fact that loads of people would still be working even after AI takes over all the knowledge work and even after AI-infused robots take over all the physical work. People would still find meaning in creating art and music despite the fact that AI would also be involved in art and music, people would find meaning in improving themselves physically and mentally. There could be a whole renaissance of people getting back to face-to-face interaction with family and friends given all their free time. People would still want to explore (on Earth, in space and philosophically), science will always have a bleeding edge some folks will want to be on the cusp of. Sports and hobbies, building things there's unlimited potential outside the confines of the wage slavery system we've been shackled to for so long.